Saturday, 31 January 2026

Month of January 2026

In this era of advanced technologies, many aspects of our life can pretty much be automated. Remember Alexa? It appeared in movies, heralding a future of home appliances commanded by a voice, providing weather updates and playing music suitable to the owner's mood. Many years have since passed, how many people actually use such a device? I have one sitting somewhere in a corner at home. Luckily it's a freebie. My take is, don't rush to use a technology until it's proven. When the Iphone was first launched, I also waited for about a year to let the bugs be resolved. This approach is what I took with regard to digital door locks. Samsung and some Korean brands were the early frontrunners. At one tradeshow, I was tempted to buy but retreated due to the $2000 price tag. Since then, many new brands have sprouted, from China to Europe and even Singapore. Early this month, I asked my second son to do a market research. In one visit, together with my wife, we decided to purchase his recommended choice, Kaadas Q9 that costs close to $800. Within a week, the installation was completed. I don't have to carry keys in my pocket anymore. It's been a smooth transition for a good price.

I met up with a couple of friends from school over dinner. We last met about six months ago and as usual, the conversation doesn't stop. A topic that came up was the soon-to-arrive expected bonus. Public servants received 2.7 months (1 AWS, 1.7 AVC) for last year's work. For the private sector, things are more variable, depending on the industry. My company should be giving 2 months even though market condition was not easy. My friend's husband is a pilot with the national airline, so we gave our congratulations in advance to her. The aviation sector has performed well since Covid as I'm sure people can attest to the deluge of tourists everywhere especially in Japan. Her response was quite shocking. Even though it's reported that aviators should get around seven months of bonus, she mentioned it felt more like three months. Bonus is based on the underlying basic salary and a widely accepted norm. In this instance, her husband's pay has not been restored to the pre-Covid days. She estimated the pay cut he took was around 50%. Adding to his woe is that he missed out on an upgrade (which was due) during the pandemic period. Therefore, the "lost" amount is effectively half of the bonus issued and still counting.

Last month, I mentioned about my aching left knee that's still in recovery mode. It's not gotten worse but neither much better as I dare not place much weight. Instead, the focus has been on stretching and no cardio activities (I don't fancy swimming). Then, after school barely started, my second son sprained his ankle while playing frisbee. Ah, another familiar injury that I used to get playing soccer. I've had at least two sprains per ankle along with a few fingers. My son's condition didn't look that bad but an Xray was taken as a precaution. The RICE method was applied and it looked better after two weeks. For now, he probably has to continue on crutches for a while. If not, next up is the Sinseh where I had my limbs straightened out a few times. In Chinese saying, misfortunes usually come in pairs. I hope no more health concerns for the family this year.

Tip: Marcus Molitor Riesling 2022, good mineral uplift, lingering musk melon, balanced acidity

Thursday, 15 January 2026

Finance Investment Movement 65

I looked back on the January post last year (here) and reflected if peace was achieved. That's such a straightforward answer if we simply assess the conflict situations still happening around the world. The only thing I missed out was Venezuela, at least Trump didn't disappoint my view of him being the disruptor. The so called freedom defender chose to begin a new year with a bang and with it, brought the message that the US can and will step in to "resolve" issues, either the soft or hard way. Mr Rubio made it abundantly clear in the aftermath. For investors, the path has been cleared. The US may be broke but it does not appear as one or rather, it will not be. Why so? Through innovation, manipulation, sheer will or perhaps by force. Whichever method works, it doesn't matter. So long Trump is at the seat and not majorly opposed, public expectation for higher returns will power on and that in turn, will drive the trend upwards.

For myself, I'm more than satisfied with the progress made in 2025. The final tally is very close to 8% improvement in overall portfolio. It may not have beaten the S&P but I run my own race, at a pace that I'm comfortable with. In a year of falling interest rates, my equities and SRS were the best performers due to banks and Reits. However, I was let down by the fall in crypto, trading mistakes and inability to add positions. The most surprising statistic was that cash holdings (compared at start and end year) dropped slightly despite big expenditures on renovation and an illness that required specialist treatment.

The dividend income stream is growing although I sense great obstacles ahead. There's not much good yields to be found as the struggle to utilize idle cash is expected to continue. Stocks are overpriced in my opinion. The one constant is I will DCA into Pimco bond fund so as to build up its weight as a portfolio balancer. Over the last two months, I purchased Tbills and SSBs as a last resort. 

Dividends as of December 2025: $10092.74 (avg $841.00 per month)

Tip: Chateau Reysson 2023, purple flowers, young blueberries, to be drunk early